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Master's Dissertation
DOI
10.11606/D.12.2008.tde-08012009-204720
Document
Author
Full name
Isabel Machado Cavalcanti
E-mail
Institute/School/College
Knowledge Area
Date of Defense
Published
São Paulo, 2008
Supervisor
Committee
Nakane, Marcio Issao (President)
Haddad, Eduardo Amaral
Rocha, Bruno de Paula
Title in Portuguese
Crédito rural e produto agropecuário municipal: uma análise de causalidade
Keywords in Portuguese
Causalidade
Crédito rural
Desenvolvimento rural
Abstract in Portuguese
O objetivo deste trabalho é estudar a relação de causalidade entre crédito rural e produto agropecuário. Utilizando dados municipais do período 1999-2004, aplicou-se a metodologia de Granger e Huang (1997), que permite identificar o sentido da causalidade entre duas variáveis em um contexto de painel. Contrariamente à grande parte da literatura que estudou as relações de causalidade entre sistema financeiro e crescimento econômico, este trabalho não identificou a causalidade partindo da variável financeira para o produto. Em geral, os resultados apontaram causalidade unidirecional, partindo do Produto Interno Bruto da agropecuária para o crédito rural.
Title in English
Rural credit and agricultural output: a causality analysis
Keywords in English
Causality
Rural credit
Rural development
Abstract in English
The main goal of this essay is to evaluate the causal relations between rural credit and agricultural output. Using municipal data for the period 1999-2004, we have implemented the Granger and Huang (1997) methodology, which allows us to identify the causality direction between two variables in a data panel context. Differently from a large part of the literature that has studied causal relations between finance and growth, this work did not find causality from the financial variable towards output. Instead, the results draw attention to unidirectional causality from agricultural output to rural credit.
 
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Publishing Date
2009-01-14
 
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